Comments on: Swing State No More http://jayreding.com/archives/2004/09/21/swing-state-no-more/ Sun, 31 Jan 2010 18:46:33 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Jim Pfaff http://jayreding.com/archives/2004/09/21/swing-state-no-more/comment-page-1/#comment-8965 Jim Pfaff Wed, 22 Sep 2004 19:54:07 +0000 http://63.247.137.2/~jayredin/?p=3560#comment-8965 You've hit the nail on the head with this article. And this is happening in other critical states like West Virginia where social conservative values mean much more than party affiliation in a Presidential Election. You’ve hit the nail on the head with this article. And this is happening in other critical states like West Virginia where social conservative values mean much more than party affiliation in a Presidential Election.

]]> By: Mark http://jayreding.com/archives/2004/09/21/swing-state-no-more/comment-page-1/#comment-8963 Mark Wed, 22 Sep 2004 03:48:11 +0000 http://63.247.137.2/~jayredin/?p=3560#comment-8963 Two weeks ago, when Zogby's poll showed Bush leading by 11 points, you held the poll up as a trophy. Now, when the same pollster shows Bush's lead down to a mere three points, you don't even bother to mention it. What gives? It's almost as if you're picking and choosing poll numbers that suit your personal preference. Kerry is very likely to rise out of his mini-slump and has three debates to prove himself against Bush. He's not a great candidate, so I'm not wildly optimistic about his chances, but I do believe the national polls and Ohio polls will narrow in the weeks to come. Kerry would need a Dukakis-style national death spiral for the current outliner Ohio polls to become reality. I don't see that happening. Two weeks ago, when Zogby’s poll showed Bush leading by 11 points, you held the poll up as a trophy. Now, when the same pollster shows Bush’s lead down to a mere three points, you don’t even bother to mention it. What gives? It’s almost as if you’re picking and choosing poll numbers that suit your personal preference.

Kerry is very likely to rise out of his mini-slump and has three debates to prove himself against Bush. He’s not a great candidate, so I’m not wildly optimistic about his chances, but I do believe the national polls and Ohio polls will narrow in the weeks to come. Kerry would need a Dukakis-style national death spiral for the current outliner Ohio polls to become reality. I don’t see that happening.

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