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Hamas Wins In Palestine

In an unexpected upset, the terrorist group Hamas has claimed a majority of the seats in the Palestinian elections held yesterday. The Fatah faction of former Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat was expected to narrowly win over Hamas, but it appears that Hamas did better than expected. In the wake of Fatah’s loss, Palestinian Prime Minister Ahmed Qorei has stepped down from his post.

This is extremely bad news. The only thing that was moderating Hamas’ position was the expectation that they’d be a minority to Fatah. Now that they have power, it seems less likely that they will feel the need to be moderate anymore. It is quite possible that unless the situation changes, there could be open warfare between Israel and Palestine once again. Hamas’ goal is nothing less than the destruction of Israel, and neither the US nor Israel will negotiate with a government led by the terrorist group.

The effects of this election are going to have ripple effects in Israel. Facing such a threat, Ehud Olmert is going to look comparatively weak - the results of the Gaza disengagement now appear to have been an increase in radicalism. This is a major win for Binyamin Netanyahu and Likud who take a much harder line than Ariel Sharon’s Kadima Party. The political vacuum created by Sharon’s stroke and Olmert’s decision to allow voting in East Jerusalem may harm Kadima’s prospects in March when Israel holds its election.

What happens now is almost entirely in the hands of the leadership of Hamas. It seems that the EU will continue to treat the Palestinians with kid gloves despite Hamas’ victory and despite EU official Javier Solana’s claims to the contrary - even though the EU also recognizes Hamas as a terrorist group. Hamas has this opportunity to lay down arms, support continued negotiations with Israel, and support an open and tolerant civil society for Palestine. Sadly, that would mean that Hamas would have to turn its back on everything that it’s stood for previously.

Make no mistake, Hamas is an agency that stands for the extermination of the state of Israel and the liquidation of its people. It is a radical, dangerous terrorist group that is not to be trusted. The US government must not offer such a government recognition unless it takes dramatic steps to demonstrate a true commitment to peace in the region - and that is something that Hamas will simply never do.

The Democracy Scorecard

The Washington Post has an interesting piece on the Bush Administration’s progress in supporting democratic movements worldwide. They highlight the case of Egypt, the #1 recipient of US foreign aid, and also an autocratic country where opposition leader Ayman Nour remains a political prison, held on trumped-up charges by the Mubarak regime, a nominal ally of the US.

The Bush Administration deserves some credit for putting democracy on the front burner in places like Ukraine, where we supported Viktor Yushchenko despite the fact that he openly planned to remove Ukrainian troops from Iraq, and the very quiet bilateral pressure applied on Syria to withdraw by Lebanon by both the United States and France. The idea that the US and the French would be working together at the UN to bring democracy to an Arab country seems to be like something out of Bizarro-World, but it happened nonetheless. US action has helped to spread democracy, not only in Iraq:

“The glass is a quarter full, but we need more of it,” said Jennifer Windsor, executive director of Freedom House, a group that promotes democracy. “The administration deserves credit, but it’s just a start.”

In its annual survey ranking nations as free, partly free or not free, the group upgraded nine nations or territories in 2005 and downgraded four. Among those deemed freer were Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan, where peaceful revolutions overthrew entrenched governments; Lebanon, where Syrian occupation troops were pressured to withdraw; and Afghanistan and the Palestinian territories, where trailblazing elections were held. Overall, Freedom House concluded, “the past year was one of the most successful for freedom” since the survey began in 1972.

More can and should still be done. Global geopolitics demands that we can’t lean too heavily on regimes like Russia, China, and Pakistan, but that doesn’t mean that more subtle pressure can’t be applied. Iran, North Korea, and Burma remain some of the most oppressive countries on the planet. Belarus is still a puppet of Moscow led by the authoritarian Aleksandr Lukachenko. East Africa remains mired in corruption and autocracy.

It remains absolutely critical that this and future Administrations put democratization as a key priority of American foreign policy. Programs such as the Millennium Challenge Account encourage fiscal transparency and openness. American diplomacy no longer regard “stability” as the predominant focus of American foreign policy. While the democratic transition in Iraq has been loud and noisy, Afghanistan, Lebanon, Kuwait, Palestine, and even Saudi Arabia are taking steps towards democracy from headlong plunges to tentative first steps.

The Bush Administration’s record on democratization so far is mixed, but the fact that it’s at the forefront at all is a positive first step. The events of the past few years have painfully and indelibly shown that the international status quo could no longer be sustained. The autocracy of the Middle East has supported and fueled Islamic terrorism by divorcing millions of Arabs from being able to decide their own political futures. Societies in which political change can only come about through the barrel of a gun tend to be societies that foster rather than combat terrorism.

Democratization takes time, sometimes generations. However, it is critical that American foreign policy works towards democratization as a critical goal not only to win the war we’re currently fighting, but to help prevent conflicts in the future.

Ahmadi-Nejad Escapes Iran Blasts

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad once again may have survived a possible assassination attempt as two bombs detonated in the southwestern city of Ahwaz. Six people were killed and nearly 50 injured in the blasts.

There was already a possible assassination attempt on Ahmadi-Nejad’s life earlier this year when his convoy was attacked by Baluchistani Sunnis seeking autonomy from the Shi’ite-dominated Iranian government. This bombing may be yet another sign of internal unrest in Iran. Likewise, Ahwaz is home to many ethnic Arabs who are also desiring more autonomy from the rule of Iranian Persians.

However, the Iranian Security Services are quite loyal to the government, and the democratic opposition is weak. It’s uncertain what would happen were Ahmadi-Nejad to be assassinated. The Iranian people are relatively well-educated and the student movement is gaining strength, just nowhere near enough strength to fight the current regime. While internal revolt leading to a democratic revolution would be wonderful for Iran and for the world, it simply isn’t likely to happen despite the rising dissatisfaction with Iran’s isolation from the rest of the world.

That doesn’t mean that the US and other governments shouldn’t support Iranian dissident groups - groups such as Solidarity and Charter 77 made a huge difference in hastening the collapse of Soviet Communism. However, unless we’re willing to fully arm and support an Iranian civil war (which may prove to be counterproductive), containment is our last remaining option for dealing with Iran at this point - which may include stopping Iran from developing nuclear weapons through force.

Alito To The Floor

On a party-line vote, the Senate Judiciary Committee has recommended Samuel Alito as an Associate Justice. Sad that the Democrats had to put politics first and make this a party-line vote.

An Anatomy Of Hatred

Byron York links to another disgusting little screed from Kos, which illustrates precisely why the Democrats should be treating him like a dog with fleas. Kos argues:

Okay, who said:

“Who can forget your President Clinton’s immoral acts committed in the official Oval office? After that you did not even bring him to account, other than that he ‘made a mistake’, after which everything passed with no punishment. Is there a worse kind of event for which your name will go down in history and remembered by nations?”

And who said:

“We call you to be a people of manners, principles, honour, and purity; to reject the immoral acts of fornication [and] homosexuality…”

That’s Osama Bin Laden. And wow, he sounds just like Republicans!…

Let’s not forget that ultimately, Osama’s vision for the Arab world is far more akin to the Right’s vision of America…On homosexuality, on militarism, on women’s rights, on religion in school, on capital punishment, on free speech, on curtailment of civil liberties, and on a million different other issues Islamic fundamentalists don’t share many disagreements with the ideologues running our country.

The reason we hate Islamic fundamentalists is pretty much the same reason we’re fighting to take back this country from the Republicans. They are two peas from the same pod, and diametrically opposed to everything we liberals stand for.

Yup, according to Kos, the right is just like the Taliban. There’s no difference between the two.

Does the Democratic Party really believe this tripe?

Islamic fundamentalists kill homosexuals by collapsing walls on them. As disgusting as Jerry Falwell and his ilk are, they’ve never advocated that. Can Kos name one member of the mainstream Right in America who would advocate such a thing?

Islamic fundamentalists believe that the punishment for adultery should be death by stoning. Do the Democrats really think that’s part of the Republican Party platform?

Islamic fundamentalists believe that women should be treated as chattel. Does John Kerry wish to endorse that view of the majority party in this country? Would he like to explain that to Secretary Rice, Elaine Chao, Gov. Jodie Rell of Connecticut, and every other prominent female Republican? Because apparently they didn’t get that particular memo.

Islamic fundamentalists believe that music should be banned. Including Lee Greenwood. And I’m damn sure that they’d have a problem with “God Bless The USA”. Does Kos really think that Republicans are just like Islamic fundamentalists?

This kind of absolutely ridiculous crap is why Kos is, in all honesty, a raving partisan lunatic. Does the Democratic Party really believed this nonsense? Is this the kind of rhetoric they want to promote to the American public? Would John Kerry, Ted Kennedy, and the other prominent Democratic politicians who have posted to Kos’ site like to endorse these views? Or is their silence on these matters a tacit sign of assent?

There are two ways of looking at Kos’ inane diatribe - either he’s just pandering to the most disgusting aspects of the Democratic base, throwing them loads of bloody red meat, or he really believes this shit. Either way it doesn’t look particularly good for him.

What’s even more disgusting about this is that Kos has the absolute audacity to complain whenever someone says something that just might impugn his patriotism! Yet apparently it is perfectly within bounds to accuse the other side of being no different than Osama bin Laden.

This is precisely why I say that the Democratic Party is A) profoundly unserious and B) completely unhinged from reality. Democracy is based on compromise. Yet with such an attitude, where is there room for compromise? If the GOP is no better than al-Qaeda, then why have a two-party system at all. Kos’ comments provide the rhetorical justification for the kind of partisan extremism that is antithetical to the principles of democracy itself.

There is a line between reasonable criticism and outright insanity. Kos not only crossed that line a long time ago, but has leaped it by bounds.

Never mind that fact that bin Laden also repeated some of the Left’s favorite tropes, that the US is “failing” in Iraq, that Bush “misled” the American people, and even brought in references straight out of Fahrenheit 9/11.

Again, prominent Democratic politicians have posted to Kos’ site. Harry Reid is speaking at an event hosted by Kos. The argument that Kos is part of the Democratic Underground lunatic fringe isn’t going to fly anymore.

If the Democrats can’t distance themselves from this madness, what does that say about their ability to be a reasonable political party?

More On The NSA, Wiretaps, And War

Andrew McCarthy has a brilliant piece in National Review Online on the NSA wiretapping “scandal”. He puts the real crux of this matter plainly:

We are either at war or we are not. If we are, the president of the United States, whom the Constitution makes the commander-in-chief of our military forces, is empowered to conduct the war — meaning he has unreviewable authority to employ all of the essential incidents of war fighting.

Not some of them. All of them. Including eavesdropping on potential enemy communications. That eavesdropping — whether you wish to refer to it by the loaded “spying” or go more high-tech with “electronic surveillance” or “signals intelligence” — is as much an incident of warfare as choosing which targets to bomb, which hills to capture, and which enemies to detain…

Al Qaeda is an international terrorist network. We cannot defeat it by conquering territory. It has none. We cannot round up its citizens. Its allegiance is to an ideology that makes nationality irrelevant. To defeat it and defend ourselves, we can only acquire intelligence — intercept its communications and thwart its plans. Nothing else will do.

Al Qaeda seeks above all else to strike the United States — yet again — domestically. Nothing — nothing — could be worse for our nation and for the civil liberties of all Americans than the terrorists’ success in that regard. For those obvious reasons, no communications are more important to capture than those which cross our borders. Al Qaeda cannot accomplish its ne plus ultra, massive attacks against our domestic population centers, unless it communicates with people here. If someone from al Qaeda is using a phone to order a pizza, we want to know that — probable cause or not.

It is precisely that reason why the civil rights absolutists are not winning this argument. We’re at war with any enemy that does not distinguish between civilians and combatants, blends in with our own civilian population, and has the stated goal of attacking us with nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons. The Democrats keep trying to systematically play down the threat of terrorism - a threat that is very much real and very much prescient. The 9/11 Commission Report makes it clear that the FISA system was not adequate before September 11, 2001, and remains too slow and too cumbersome to deal with the technologies of the 21st Century. The most critical element in the fight against al-Qaeda is actionable intelligence, and the only way to gather that intelligence is to have a system that can follow the trail even when an al-Qaeda agent is using disposable pre-paid cellphones and calling from within the borders of the US.

The arguments about the “imperial Presidency” and the “expansion of executive power” are equally based on a willful misunderstanding of the situation. The Executive is the Commander in Chief of the Armed Forces - he (or she) has the Constitutionally-mandated authority to lead our armed forces in acts of war. Congress gave the President statutory authority to pursue al-Qaeda, and that includes the gathering of intelligence.

In fact, if Congress truly felt that this program was a horrendous threat to our civil liberties, they could take action. As McCarthy explains:

A blank check for the president? That is preposterous rhetoric. The commander-in-chief power includes the incidents of warfare. Nothing else. The president cannot seize the steel mills. He cannot suspend habeas corpus. He cannot close the banks, raise taxes, or conscript minors. He is no king. Indeed, if we are to talk about “the king” — as in having no clothes — our eyes should be cast on Capitol Hill.

From the hysteria that abounds, one would think that if FISA was not merely ignored but repealed, we would be living in a dictatorship, with All the President’s Men snooping into every phone call, every library, and every bedroom. It is nonsense. Congress retains the power of the purse. Nothing prevents it, tomorrow, from passing a law that denies all funding for any domestic surveillance undertaken by the NSA or any other executive branch agency.

The president could do nothing but veto such a bill. But if, as leading Democrats and civil-liberties extremists maintain, the NSA program is truly one of the most outrageous, execrable, impeachable acts ever committed in recorded history, that veto would easily be overridden.

So why doesn’t Congress just do it. Why doesn’t it, literally, put its money where many of its mouths are? Why don’t the people’s representatives bring to heel this renegade, above-the-law president and his blank check? Because they’d lose, decisively and embarrassingly, that’s why.

Because they’d have to take an accountable position on life-and-death. Because such a vote, in the middle of a war in which millions of American lives are at stake, would say, unambiguously, that they actually believe the government should not monitor enemy communications unless a federal judge — someone no one voted for and voters cannot remove — decides in his infinite wisdom that there is probable cause. It’s so much easier to carp for a scandal-happy media about “the privacy rights of ordinary Americans,” as if that were really the issue.

McCarthy is right – if Congress really wanted to end this program, they have the power of the purse. They can cut off all funding for this program just as they had done previously with the Total Information Awareness (TIA) program. Despite all the heated rhetoric, so far there has been no Congressional push to cut the funding for this program. McCarthy is right, the Democrats were nailed for their intransigence in 2002 on the Homeland Security bill, and the last thing any Democratic politician wants to do is explain to their constituency why they believe that we should have sat around waiting for FISA to issue a warrant if we’d learned about September 11 a week prior to the event. Treating Osama bin Laden better than we treat Tony Soprano simply doesn’t make sense when one honestly examines the reality of the threat we face.

It’s so much easier to play the role of the aggrieved defenders of “civil rights” than it is to actually take action. It’s so much easier to invent obviously outlandish hypotheticals than it is to have an honest debate about the issues involved. It’s so much easier to mouth tired platitudes and mangled quotations about “liberty” and “security” than to consider that if there’s an attack on an American city with WMDs our civil rights will start a far more precipitous decline - not to mention the thousands or even millions of people who would lose their lives.

The essential problem here is the essential problem of our age - everything has become hyper-politicized as the single-minded fixation with George W. Bush poisons all political debate. This is less about the competing interests of security versus privacy and the power of the Executive in wartime than it is about being another partisan rallying cry for the left to wave around and get more ACLU donors to pony up more cash.

At the end of the day, we remain at war with an enemy who combines ruthlessness and technology to form a greater threat than this country has ever faced. Nazi Germany couldn’t destroy an American city. The Soviet Union was, for the most part, a rational actor constrained by the doctrines of Mutually Assured Destruction. Al-Qaeda has already demonstrated it has the capability of attacking the United States itself and is hardly a rational actor - they see the west as jahiliyyah and as long as we do not submit to their view of Islamic law, we are to be destroyed. We are not dealing with conventional threats, and the idea that if we’d found out that a group of people on expired student visas were plotting something on September 7, that we’d have to end surveillance on September 10 while FISA processes the paperwork is not a tenable position in dealing with this threat.

For those whose partisanship makes them see George W. Bush as a bigger threat than Osama bin Laden, that is of little concern. But for Serious America, the right to “privacy” in regards to international communications reasonably suspected to involve terrorism does not in any way outrank the right for people to be free of terrorist attack.

Canadian Election Roundup

Glenn Reynolds has a whole host of reactions to yesterday’s Conservative victory in Canada. The Tories even did surprisingly well in Quebec, which was certainly unexpected. However, Ed Morrissey notes that incoming Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s mandate is a limited one - the Tories only captured 124 seats to the Liberals 103, which means that Harper will have to reach out to parties like the Bloc Quebecois in order to form a government. However, the BQ is likely to trade some exemptions for Quebec for a coalition partnership that could last for a few years.

The Canadian people were rightly sick of the corruption on the Liberal side of the aisle, and Paul Martin’s boundless arrogance in dealing with those allegations. The Gomery Inquest was one of many points where the levels of Liberal corruption in the Quebec sponsorship program and other sordid affairs were made clear to everyone despite attempts at publication bans.

And like many leaders, Martin hoped that anti-Americanism would be enough to keep him in power. As in Germany, the UK, Denmark, and elsewhere, that strategy failed. Harper’s victory undoubtedly means stronger Canadian-American relations, and likely more cooperation on economic, political, and military matters. Canadian troops are part of the International Stabilization Force in Afghanistan, and while it’s almost certain that Harper wouldn’t commit Canadian forces to Iraq, Canada is likely to be less of the odd man out in the Anglosphere now.

Harper has a lot of work ahead of him, and must work to form a coalition government stable enough to rule, but with Canada clearly looking for change and reform, the 12-year-long domination of the Liberal Party has finally come to an end, and Harper has a historic opportunity to develop a strong and cohesive Canadian Right.

UPDATE: Glenn Reynolds also sees some parallels between the Liberals and the GOP. There are some disturbing ones, but the difference between Canada and the US is that the Tories were a responsible political party, while the Democrats keep moving further and further towards the radical left. Then again, that is absolutely no excuse for Republican complacency on cleaning up Washington DC.