Former VA Governor Mark Warner is saying he won’t run for President in 2008, citing family concerns. Warner was on the shortlist for 2008, and his departure makes a Hillary Clinton run all the more inevitable.
It’s not surprising that someone wouldn’t want to go through the public tarring and feathering that happens during a Presidential run, and there have been a number of able candidates who have decided not to take on that Herculean task. It’s also probably true that Warner crunched the numbers: he’s an able fundraiser, but he’d have to fight against established Democratic interests, especially Senator Clinton. He may be a good candidate, but ascending to the nomination is no easy task.
Two big winners emerge from this: Barack Obama and the GOP. Obama because it’s clear he’s thinking about taking Warner’s title of being the “anti-Hillary” and who doesn’t have the baggage of being a failed White House candidate. The GOP wins because Obama’s inexperience and liberalism mean that he probably won’t win, and the chances of Hillary becoming the Dem nominee in 2008 just went up even more. Short of Hillary crashing and burning, the far left’s hatred of her isn’t enough to sink her candidacy in 2008, and her fundraising skills ensure that she’ll be in a nearly unassailable position by the start of the next campaign season.