Nate Silver, the political oracle behind Five Thirty-Eight argues that Mitt Romney is becoming close to the inevitable GOP nominee in 2012—and while Silver notes that Romney certainly can lose, there’s no one else in the field that has the staying power to take him down. Even though the GOP isn’t in love with the [...]
Law professor Paul Campos takes a critical look at the Iowa Supreme Court’s recent decision upholding gay marriage. (The Court’s opinion is available here.) Campos finds that the legal reasoning behind the decision was lacking: Stripped of its verbiage, the court’s opinion comes down to the following claims: First, it’s a bad thing for the [...]
Lyz Baranowski has been live-blogging the floods in Cedar Rapids and has some stunning photos of the devastation. I remember the floods of 1993 in Des Moines, and it’s hard to believe that there could be a flood worse than that. Yet it looks like Iowa is getting soaked again. Hopefully waters will recede soon [...]
Karl Rove was just on XM Radio’s POTUS ’08 channel, and he mentioned that fewer people vote in the Iowa Caucus than vote in Wichita, Kansas. He also mentioned that fewer people vote in the Iowa Caucus than vote here in Dakota County, Minnesota. (Of course, he had to mention that nobody knows where Dakota [...]
Well, Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee took the top spots in Iowa, and by some impressive margins. Obviously, they’re the big winners tonight as they have momentum into the next crucial contests—New Hampshire for Obama and South Carolina for Huckabee. The big losers: the former frontrunners Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney. Clinton can afford to [...]
While I have no idea what the outcome of Iowa will be (and I doubt anyone else does either), I’ll venture a few predictions for tomorrow’s matchup in Iowa: On the Republican side, Huckabee peaked too early. The attention he got caused people to take a look at his record, and it’s not good. Huckabee [...]
Fred Thompson has a lengthy video message to Iowa voters, which lays out in some detail the case for his candidacy: What struck me about this message is that Sen. Thompson reached out to Democratic voters as well: You know, when I’m asked which of the current group of Democratic candidates I prefer to run [...]