Nate Silver, the political oracle behind Five Thirty-Eight argues that Mitt Romney is becoming close to the inevitable GOP nominee in 2012—and while Silver notes that Romney certainly can lose, there’s no one else in the field that has the staying power to take him down. Even though the GOP isn’t in love with the [...]
Well, this really throws a monkey wrench into this race, doesn’t it? Hillary Clinton is back, and back with a vengeance. This was an upset, and a huge upset. This is “Dewey Beats Truman” big. Every poll showed an Obama blowout. For Clinton to have come close would have been big. To win is massive. [...]
FOX News’ exit poll shows McCain with a 5% lead over Mitt Romney. Interestingly enough, that same exit poll shows that Clinton and Obama are also separated by 5%, with Obama leading 39% to 34%. The early results have been very favorable to Clinton, which would really make this race interesting. If Obama fails to [...]
It’s looking like the action tonight will be on the Republican side. With about an hour before the polls close, Obama is almost certainly to rout Hillary, but the race between McCain and Romney appears to be closer than expected. If Romney loses tonight, it’s hard to see how his campaign can keep going over [...]
This one won’t be that hard to predict, at least on the Democratic side. Hillary Clinton is toast. She needs a miracle to defeat Obama, and the ham-handed way she’s tried to come back have failed. Even though she’s right—even her paltry experience is infinitely more than Obama’s platitudes—the Democrats have embraced Obama’s gauzy rhetoric. [...]
I have to admit, Mitt Romney is smooth under pressure. Everyone was gunning for him, and he held his ground. This was his night, and he did well in defending his record. Granted, it would be convenient for my chosen candidate if the field gets split, but I wouldn’t be at all disappointed if Romney [...]
Romney just mentioned Sayyid Qutb, which made me think quite highly of him. There’s a real clash of ideas here, which is heartening. For all the divisions in the GOP, this group of candidates seems to be much more informed about the world than on the other side. Even Huckabee was fairly on the ball [...]