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Crystal Ball Watch 2012

A long-standing tradition here is to come up with some prediction for the New Year, and at the end of the year see how right or wrong I was. And this year shall be no exception. So, without further ado, it is time to mercilessly skewer last year’s set of predictions: Mitt Romney will be [...]

Posted in Predictions

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Paul Ryan’s Tour De Force

Paul Ryan gets it. Last night’s convention speech was a tour de force, clearly and forcefully arguing not only why the Obama Administration has failed, but what the Republican Party stands for in opposition to the last four years. There were many notable lines—but the most powerful part of the speech was this: President Obama [...]

Posted in Campaign 2012

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The State of the Race – Pre-GOP Convention Edition

When Mitt Romney chose Paul Ryan as his running mate, things were not looking up for the Romney campaign. Several polls (with highly skewed sample) showing Romney down big against Obama. The swing-state polls were not looking good for Team Romney either. And there were worries that Romney was not hitting back hard enough against [...]

Posted in Campaign 2012

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Why Obama’s Attacks On Bain Capital Will Backfire

President Obama has unveiled his latest attack against Mitt Romney, focusing on Romney’s days with the private equity firm Bain Capital. But just as the Obama campaign was getting ready to launch their attacks, a curious thing happened: Mayor Corey Booker, the Democratic mayor of Trenton, New Jersey and a rising star in the Democratic [...]

Posted in Campaign 2012

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Can Romney Win? Yes, He Can!

The New Yorker warms the hearts of Republicans everywhere by asking a question no true-blue liberal Democrat wants to even contemplate: can Mitt Romney really beat Obama? In my neck of artisanal, hormone-free Brooklyn, the latest CBS News/New York Times poll, which shows Mitt Scissorhands leading “The First Gay President” by three points, landed with [...]

Posted in Campaign 2012

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The Curious Evolution Of President Barack Obama

President Obama has come out in favor of gay marriage, contradicting his positions in 2008. It’s not surprising that Obama is suddenly an advocate of same-sex marriage—I rather doubt that anyone took his position on marriage seriously in 2008, and those that did were almost certainly deluding themselves. But the real question is why now? Why has the political calculus changed so that President Obama feels safe in supporting gay marriage?

Posted in Campaign 2012, Politics

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The State Of The Race 2012 – Part I

The dust has settled from the contentious GOP primary battle, and it looks like Mitt Romney will be the GOP’s 2012 nominee. It’s now on to the general election, where the future of Barack Obama’s Presidency will be tested. Even though polling this far out is of limited usefulness, it does give us some idea [...]

Posted in Campaign 2012

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