The World Tribune (admittedly a source that should be taken with a grain of salt) is reporting that US intelligence believes that Saddam’s WMDs were shipped to the Bekaa Valley of Lebanon in January of 2003.
This is a rumor that was also spreading around the start of the war, and the border between Iraq and Syria is porous enough that you could move a truck full of bleating elephants across without raising much attention.
Glenn Reynolds also points to the idea that Russia may have played a part in helping Saddam hide his weapons of mass destruction. This is another potential lead that may or may not pan out, but it highlights the many ways in which Iraqs arsenal could have disappeared in short order.
Even satellites are limited in that they are in orbit, and they can only observe a given spot for a given amount of time. Plus, they’re not constantly recording everything that goes on, they need to be targeted in order to gather imagery. (Another reason why the US intelligence community needs to rebuild its human intelligence system.) Unless we happened to be looking or someone on the border would be willing to tell us, it’s not hard to sneak something from one country or another.
The Kay Report should be released some time next month if reports are correct, and the evidence David Kay has collected will likely show that Iraq had an active and dangerous program to develop weapons of mass destruction that could be used against the United States or others. Especially after the anthrax attacks on the US Capitol, attacks which remain unsolved, it would have been insane to wait until a massive attacks fill thousands before acting to rid the world of the threat of weapons of mass destruction.
Unless all nations are willing to work togther to end the threat of terrorists armed with chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons, it is not a matter of if such an attack will occur, but a matter of when.