It’s looking like John Thune is doing well against the Lizard King of the Senate Tom Daschle in South Dakota. The latest Rassmussen poll has Thune ahead 50 to 46 aganst Daschle. Even more promisingly, Zogby has Thune down by 2.3 points.
Wait you say, why am I celebrating a poll where Thune is down?
It’s because if you’re down in the Zogby poll by less than 10 points in South Dakota, you’re probably ahead. A Zogby poll for the recent special election in June showed Larry Diedrich trailing Stephanie Herseth by double digits. Zogby’s polling in South Dakota is about as accurate as chicken entrails, and nearly always massively overstates the lead for the Democrats. If Zogby only has Thune trailing by 2.3 points against Daschle, he’s probably ahead.
Thune’s latest ad campaign featuring the voices of average South Dakotans is an excellent campaign and may be moving his numbers. Certainly Thune’s team has been active in getting signs in yards and doors knocked – which is a sign of a healthy campaign infrastructure. The Daschle/Thune race is one of the hottest races in 2004 for the Senate, and it’s looking like the days of Daschle’s domination of South Dakota politics may just be coming to an end…