The Washington Dispatch says Howard Dean will alienate the "Reagan Democrats" that helped Reagan win in 1980 and are still a political force in American electoral politics. Nolan Finley of The Detriot News agrees that moderate Democrats have little to like about Howard Dean.
Dean has captured the Democratic field, and at this point, the chances of another candidate taking the field is slim to none. Kerry is sounding more like a blowdried and contrived imitation of Dean. Liberman is persona non grata with the radical anti-war left. Edwards is promising, but his campaign has been stuck in neutral so long that he’s so far a non-factor in the race. Granted, anything could happen, but all signs point to a sweep for Dean unless his campaign somehow collapses between now and the critical New Hampshire and South Carolina races. If Dean wins these two contests as well as Iowa and some of the other Super Tuesday states, it’s hard imagining how any of the other candidates can come back. In fact, if Kerry does not win New Hampshire, it’s all but over for his candidacy.
Dean is a one-trick pony, and his one trick is capitalizing on the Democrat’s boundless hatred for George W. Bush. His policies have no resonance with the American electorate – his health care plan is identical to the failed HillaryCare plan of 1994, and his opposition to all tax cuts including those for the middle class is pure electoral poison.
The only thing that powers Dean is hate and bitterness towards the President. His core constituency are those who think that Bush is really a Hitler, that America is a police state, and that the war in Iraq was all about oil.
In other words, unless you’re a member of the radical left, Dean has no appeal whatsoever.
It’s that rabidly anti-war, anti-growth, anti-family, anti-military, and anti-American radical fringe that is the power that has vaulted the Dean campaign from an also-ran to the Democrat to beat. It is their pent-up rage and hatred that keeps Dean in the polls. They represent a minority of overall voters, but enough of a plurality for the Democrats to get the nomination.
Either Dean takes the nomination or the 2004 Democratic National Convention will degenerate into a riot as the hard-core Deanites try to hijack the convention for Dean. Dean is arrogant enough that if he looses, I would not put it past him to run as a Green. In such a situation, the split in the Democratic vote would ensure a second term for Bush.
In the post-September 11 age, the old slash-and-burn politics of mass destruction won’t fly. The Dean message doesn’t speak to voters who don’t already hate Bush, and those Democrats who aren’t part of the radical fringe will either vote for Bush or stay home on Election Day. Either way, Dean is political poison for the Democrats, and those moderate Democrats have nothing to like about Loud Howard taking the helm of their party.