Ask Not For Whom The Poll Tolls…

Hindrocket at Powerline laments Bush’s poll numbers arguing a much grimmer perspective than actually exists. If the election were held today, Bush would be in trouble.

But the election is eight months away, and Bush has not yet begun to fight. The same polls came out in 1984 about Mondale, and we all know how that turned out.

Deacon, also of Poweline, notes that the WaPo poll was skewed towards the Democrats, which isn’t surprising as it showed Kerry trouncing Bush in the South – something that’s as likely as me winning the next American Idol. Bush’s numbers aren’t anything to be singing about, but the doom and gloom scenarios some are proposing are rather premature.

If anything, these numbers can be seen as paradoxically helpful for President Bush. If you’re seen as a sure thing, people aren’t going to jump out to vote for you. The GOP needs the base, and there are a lot of Republicans who are thinking of staying home on election day. A good chunk of those will change their minds of Bush looks vulnerable – it’s one thing to make a stand against someone who has a chance to win without you – it’s entirely another to potential subject this country to four years of John F’in Kerry. So long as the Bush team can use these numbers to increase turnout, they’ll be something the Bush team can use to their advantage.

The other, and biggest reason I’m sanguine about these polls is that the American people have only seen the good side of John F’in Kerry. He’s had months of positive press and the aura of a winner from the primaries. That will fade fast as the scrutiny that had been focusing on others turns on him.

The only time it will be apropriate to write Bush’s political obituary is November 5, 2004… and then, God willing, it will be John Kerry who is defeated.

7 thoughts on “Ask Not For Whom The Poll Tolls…

  1. Sorry for bush, but this is only the beginning. As you all know it, money rules the US. And the interests that influenced Bush over the past few years have understood that only his removal will allow them to get some money back: Lobbys now need international support and finance in Irak and elsewhere.The only way other nations will agree to change their attitude is his removal…He will be “betrayed” by the very same people that supported his action.

    Don’t be angry, that’s just capitalism as you want and enjoy it!!

  2. Sorry for bush, but this is only the beginning. As you all know it, money rules the US. And the interests that influenced Bush over the past few years have understood that only his removal will allow them to get some money back: Lobbys now need international support and finance in Irak and elsewhere.The only way other nations will agree to change their attitude is his removal…He will be “betrayed” by the very same people that supported his action.

    And then monkeys will fly out of my ass and perform arias from HMS Pinafore

  3. Please, please keep this post preciously in your archive so we can enjoy this great show when the day will come!

    I first suspected the wind to have turned when foxnews started to make a few critics about Bush (about a month ago-according to a friend). It was pretty surprising considering their always blind partisanship (just when like Jay “forget” to mention anything about “Blair spying on the UN”, or “Tsahal kills 15 in a refugee camp including 5 women and 5 kids under 10”, or “The US to monitor closely (censor) science publications”, or “hundreds of scientists and Nobel Prizes’report on how the Bush Administration manipulates data and science”, or “why did Cheney only met energy lobbys when producing the national energy plan” and so on…you know what I’m talking about). Then I had some other clues, in the way medias are presenting the facts: mild attacks on Kerry, obvious fakes against him, energy scandals around and in Bush’s team starting to pop-up…

    If you don’t want to believe that, you don’t have to, but “what gives you the right to dismiss it out of hand?”

  4. If you don’t want to believe that, you don’t have to, but “what gives you the right to dismiss it out of hand?”

    The part where it either isn’t true, isn’t relevant, or is the product of the state-run European propaganda machine…

  5. “is the product of the state-run European propaganda machine…”

    What the ??????? there’s not even ONE european STATE!!!! ;-)) (that’s actually our main problem: diversity is so present among States (from Sweden to Greece) that we have to be demoratic because we have to care about all opinions!). For your information, the UK is partof the EU. Do you think they would agree on a “state-run european propaganda machine” against the US?? Sometimes, your comments are just…ignorant of reality!

    This (the idea developed in the first place) is an original thought from vincent (TM) (and my friend Patrice I must admit- but he is neither an agent of the undercover EU propaganda agency that doesn’t exist) and please tell me if you’ve seen it anywhere else (not to make them pay royalties, but to know what media is thinking the same). I didn’t see, heard or read anything close to this idea untill now.

    It’s an idea you should discredit with facts rather than vomit on. It doesn’t help, and you’ll look so stupid if it does happen.
    1-do you agree on the fact that you never post about things in contradiction with your own ideas? (I mean: NEVER)
    2-Haven’t you noticed any form of critics against W’administraton on fox recently? (Wherever they come from, comments on Fox are that it is (was?) an obvious support of Bush, whatsoever)
    3-Don’t you think that could be a hint that something has changed?

    If you don’t buy it, that’s fine with me. I don’t buy many (most actually) of your ideas.

    Finally, I do not believe Kerry to be any better than Bush. His greed and constant spins are probably taught in ENA classes (National School of Administration of France, producing all our politicians for years) as an example of best practices.

  6. 1-do you agree on the fact that you never post about things in contradiction with your own ideas? (I mean: NEVER)

    I post corrections, but only when they are warranted by the facts.

    2-Haven’t you noticed any form of critics against W’administraton on fox recently? (Wherever they come from, comments on Fox are that it is (was?) an obvious support of Bush, whatsoever)

    You must not get FoxNews in Old Europe – as there are plenty of criticisms of Bush to be heard, from Alan Colmes to whatever guests they have on the show. Susan Estrich is hardly a member of the Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy, and she’s on FoxNews constantly.

    As for the European media, the BBC has already been nailed for editorial bias, and more recently French journalist Ghislaine Ottenheimer has written a book explosing the widespread corruption in French government and media.

    3-Don’t you think that could be a hint that something has changed?

    Something has changed – I’ve seen the hole in Manhattan where it all began…

    Finally, I do not believe Kerry to be any better than Bush. His greed and constant spins are probably taught in ENA classes (National School of Administration of France, producing all our politicians for years) as an example of best practices.

    Now on that I’ll agree with you completely. Kerry might as well be an énarque

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