Right Wing News asked several GOP bloggers who they’d like to see run (and not like to see run) in 2008. The results are here.
Condoleezza Rice tops the list, with Rudy Guiliani in a strong second. Jeb Bush came in third.
I think by 2008 Bush fatigue will be a major factor. Granted, Jeb is a good politician and would be a strong candidate, but 12 years of a Bush in the White House might be too much. Plus, I don’t think he could win against Hilary, whom we all know is the heir apparent for the Democrats in 2008.
Rudy Guiliani is realtively liberal in comparison to the GOP mainstream, but he’s admired by conservatives for his tenacity in the face of the horrors on September 11, 2001, he’s tough on crime, and he’d be likely to be fiscally conservative. Some hardcore evangelicals would vote against him, but he’d more than make that up with crossover votes from Blue Dog Democrats. Guiliani is one of the strongest candidates in the field should he choose to run.
Condoleezza Rice is also eminent qualified, is one of the smartest people in government, and a black woman. Many Republicans see her as the best shot at keeping the White House in 2008. Personally, I don’t think she’ll run, and I’m not sure she has enough domestic political experience to complete on that front. Then again, I understand her appeal. Having the first woman President and the first black President by a Republican would be quite something — and in Dr. Rice’s case her qualifications are impeccable on foreign policy. If she runs, she’s got a solid chance — but I just don’t see her running.
My personal favorite? Sen. George Allen of Virginia. He’s got the brains, he’s got the charm, and he’s a solid conservative. At the same time, he’s also a Senator, and Senators don’t tend to be elected President. (Although Allen was also a popular governor of Virginia as well…) Executive experience is far more valuable and tends to leave far fewer political skeletons in one’s closet. That’s why my guess is that the next GOP nominee will be a current governor who isn’t Jeb Bush. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts is one possibility. Former governor Frank Keating of Oklahoma is yet another. Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota is rather young, but he’s another potential contender.
If I had to guess, however, I’d guess that the actual nominee would be “none of the above.” 2008 is a ways away, and the political winds can and do shift. Powerhouse contenders can take a fall and unknowns can rise up to dominance. After all, politics wouldn’t be quite as interesting if weren’t so volitile.